Could Boeing Finally Overtake Airbus in Deliveries by 2030?

The Boeing-Airbus duopoly has swung back and forth over the last few decades, with Airbus holding the advantage since the millennium. With the 737 MAX crashes and near-misses, 787 groundings, and FAA-mandated slow production, Boeing fell well behind Airbus in recent years. Delayed certifications for the MAX 7, MAX 10, and 777-9 didn’t help either, leaving launch customers 6-7 years late.

Airbus has had a strong advantage in recent years, but this year Boeing actually outproduced Airbus for the first time in a calendar month since before the two fatal MAX crashes, and the tide appears to be turning again. Can Boeing catch Airbus and take the lead in deliveries before 2030?

The Boeing-Airbus duopoly has swung back and forth over the last few decades, with Airbus holding the advantage since the turn of the millennium. With the 737 MAX crashes and near-misses, 787 groundings, and FAA-mandated slow production, Boeing fell well behind Airbus in recent years. Delayed certifications for the MAX 7, MAX 10, and 777-9 didn’t help either, leaving launch customers 6-7 years late. Airbus has had a strong advantage in recent years, but this year Boeing actually outproduced Airbus for the first time since before the two fatal MAX crashes, and the tide appears to be turning again. Can Boeing catch Airbus and take the lead in deliveries before 2030?