Clicky

Insight: Wednesday 11 December 2019: FAA predicted 15 additional MAX crashes after Lion Air crash but failed to act

Care to share?

News

An FAA assessment was revealed in Congressional hearings today that included an FAA analysis after the Lion Air crash but before the Ethiopian crash indicating that additional fatal accidents could be expected if no changes were made to MCAS software.

The FAA analysis predicted that more than 15 accidents would occur over the life of the program, a clearly unacceptable risk.  Yet the agency did nothing and did not ground the aircraft at that time, waiting until after the second crash to do so.  The FAA also notably lagged behind other agencies in grounding the aircraft after the second crash, being among the last to do so.

Analysis

This helps answer the question what did the FAA know and when did they know it.  Clearly, they knew of the problem and knew it before the second crash.  Given their analysis and assessment, the aircraft should have been grounded immediately for safety reasons.  Somebody at the FAA either failed to do their job or, potentially worse, deferred to the wishes of Boeing

rather than act as an independent regulatory body at that time.

An FAA assessment was revealed in Congressional hearings today that included an FAA analysis after the Lion Air crash but before the Ethiopian crash indicating that additional fatal accidents could be expected if no changes were made to MCAS software.

The FAA analysis predicted that more than 15 accidents would occur over the life of the program, a clearly unacceptable risk.  Yet the agency did nothing and did not ground the aircraft at that time, waiting until after the second crash to do so.  The FAA also notably lagged behind other agencies in grounding the aircraft after the second crash, being among the last to do so.

Subscriber content – Sign in

[maxbutton id=”1″ ]  [maxbutton id=”2″ ] [maxbutton id=”4″ ]