An FAA assessment was revealed in Congressional hearings today that included an FAA analysis after the Lion Air crash but before the Ethiopian crash indicating that additional fatal accidents could be expected if no changes were made to MCAS software.

The FAA analysis predicted that more than 15 accidents would occur over the life of the program, a clearly unacceptable risk.  Yet the agency did nothing and did not ground the aircraft at that time, waiting until after the second crash to do so.  The FAA also notably lagged behind other agencies in grounding the aircraft after the second crash, being among the last to do so.

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