Here’s what we have for the domestic US air traffic through December 31, 2023. Remember to click the double-headed arrow at the bottom right of the model for optimal viewing.
Notes:
- Page 1 – The 2019 numbers are quite different than what we see post-pandemic. After the pandemic, we see a distinct split between flight and traffic curves. Any ideas?
- Page 2 – The average number of passengers/flight remains lower than in 2019. This is also an oddity (it could be our data). Airlines are flying larger aircraft; one would expect this to show in the data.
- Page 3 – Post July 2023, traffic volume finally exceeded 2019. The data shows Friday being the busiest travel day. We also see Tuesday has been the slowest day post-pandemic.
- Page 4 – Are 2022 and 2023 guides to future patterns?
- Page 5 – The upper chart shows a forecast that repeats what we have seen in 2023. The lower chart also shows consistent trends.
- Page 6 – Some more benchmarks
- Page 7 – Historical perspective showing 2023 being the best year for our tracking periods.
- Page 8 – More benchmarks
- Page 9 – More benchmarks – the dropoff on the upper chart is due to 2024 numbers being only two days’ worth.
- Page 10 – More benchmarks
- Page 11 – Benchmark using a base period (100) – note the number of flights jumps over 100 far earlier than the traffic volume. The ever-buoyant US airline industry!
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