DBEA55AED16C0C92252A6554BC1553B2 Clicky DBEA55AED16C0C92252A6554BC1553B2 Clicky
December 13, 2024
Runway 27R

Runway 27R

Care to share?

Here’s what we have for the domestic US air traffic through December 31, 2023. Remember to click the double-headed arrow at the bottom right of the model for optimal viewing.

Notes:

  • Page 1 – The 2019 numbers are quite different than what we see post-pandemic. After the pandemic, we see a distinct split between flight and traffic curves.  Any ideas?
  • Page 2 – The average number of passengers/flight remains lower than in 2019. This is also an oddity (it could be our data).  Airlines are flying larger aircraft; one would expect this to show in the data.
  • Page 3 – Post July 2023, traffic volume finally exceeded 2019.  The data shows Friday being the busiest travel day.  We also see Tuesday has been the slowest day post-pandemic.
  • Page 4 – Are 2022 and 2023 guides to future patterns?
  • Page 5 – The upper chart shows a forecast that repeats what we have seen in 2023.  The lower chart also shows consistent trends.
  • Page 6 – Some more benchmarks
  • Page 7 – Historical perspective showing 2023 being the best year for our tracking periods.
  • Page 8 – More benchmarks
  • Page 9 – More benchmarks – the dropoff on the upper chart is due to 2024 numbers being only two days’ worth.
  • Page 10 – More benchmarks
  • Page 11 – Benchmark using a base period (100) – note the number of flights jumps over 100 far earlier than the traffic volume.  The ever-buoyant US airline industry!

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author avatar
Addison Schonland Partner
Co-Founder AirInsight. My previous life includes stints at Shell South Africa, CIC Research, and PA Consulting. Got bitten by the aviation bug and ended up an Avgeek. Then the data bug got me, making me a curious Avgeek seeking data-driven logic. Also, I appreciate conversations with smart people from whom I learn so much. Summary: I am very fortunate to work with and converse with great people.

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