(Co-authored with Timothy O’Neil-Dunne) Lost in the pandemic was a pause in an ongoing epidemic of almost Biblical proportions. We are talking about the US practice of bluffing true flight times AKA schedule padding. With the resurgence of planes in…
As US airlines race to prepare for returning traffic, there is a scramble for capacity. It is the nature of this business that one has to always have extra capacity to deploy quickly. When an opportunity appears, first-mover advantage is…
TSA data on passengers screened indicates that a strong recovery in US airline traffic is underway. The upward trend line in traffic from earlier in the year is continuing in the first half of June. The following chart, with updated…
On May 6th, 2019 the FAA put out a circular that seems to have attracted little attention. It was about weight & balance. The kicker here is “information on the use of average estimated weight programs for passengers and baggage”…
That really useful dataset known as Form 41 has been updated through year-end 2020. People like to criticize this source as full of holes and unreliable. Until the data shows something they like. Regardless of your view on this data…
Just how bad was 2020 for US airlines? In two words, beyond awful. Here’s the year-end data updated from US DoT. Select an airline to see each one’s performance. The five-year forecast has a 95% CI and a seasonality factor…