DBEA55AED16C0C92252A6554BC1553B2 Clicky DBEA55AED16C0C92252A6554BC1553B2 Clicky
June 19, 2026
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The perennial question: Is it softening yet?  The perennial answer: We’re not sure.

The DOT has updated its T1 dataset, and we have modeled it to allow you to review it and make your own decision.

The model shows a useful history from which to make the call.  The menu allows you to select the airline type to drill down to a more specific segment.  The monumental impact of the pandemic remains, arguably, the most significant shock the industry has faced to date.  Hopefully, never to be repeated.

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Following the colors, it seems that some airlines are struggling more than others.  Startup Breeze is valiantly finding its feet; swimming with sharks is a dangerous activity.  Breeze must find safe passage in a highly challenging market.

The chart is interactive. Select 2025 and the X-axis opens to reveal months. This provides yet another nuanced view of what has happened through April. There was a Spring bump.  But it looks unconvincing. Our other models, using different data sources, show more robust traffic.

Page two shows the same type of chart with passengers/flight.

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