COMAC C919: Ambition Meets Industrial Reality |

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Reports that Air China, China Eastern, and China Southern are collectively expecting 33 C919s this year — a more than doubling of the 15 aircraft they received in 2025. But context matters

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enormously here. COMAC’s own track record:

Year	Target	Actual
2023	—	2
2024	—	~13
2025	75 ? revised to 25	~15–16
2026	28+ (COMAC) / 33 (airlines)	?

Our analysis shows that COMAC has delivered a cumulative total of 32 C919s since the program began — meaning the 2026 airline target alone would require nearly matching the program’s entire history in a single year. IBA Group independently forecasts just 25 for 2026, rising to 45 in 2027.

Addison Schonland Partner

Co-Founder AirInsight. My previous life includes stints at Shell South Africa, CIC Research, and PA Consulting. Got bitten by the aviation bug and ended up an Avgeek. Then the data bug got me, making me a curious Avgeek seeking data-driven logic. Also, I appreciate conversations with smart people from whom I learn so much. Summary: I am very fortunate to work with and converse with great people.

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