DBEA55AED16C0C92252A6554BC1553B2 Clicky DBEA55AED16C0C92252A6554BC1553B2 Clicky
July 21, 2025
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The perennial question: Is it softening yet?  The perennial answer: We’re not sure.

The DOT has updated its T1 dataset, and we have modeled it to allow you to review it and make your own decision.

The model shows a useful history from which to make the call.  The menu allows you to select the airline type to drill down to a more specific segment.  The monumental impact of the pandemic remains, arguably, the most significant shock the industry has faced to date.  Hopefully, never to be repeated.

Following the colors, it seems that some airlines are struggling more than others.  Startup Breeze is valiantly finding its feet; swimming with sharks is a dangerous activity.  Breeze must find safe passage in a highly challenging market.

The chart is interactive. Select 2025 and the X-axis opens to reveal months. This provides yet another nuanced view of what has happened through April. There was a Spring bump.  But it looks unconvincing. Our other models, using different data sources, show more robust traffic.

Page two shows the same type of chart with passengers/flight.

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author avatar
Addison Schonland Partner
Co-Founder AirInsight. My previous life includes stints at Shell South Africa, CIC Research, and PA Consulting. Got bitten by the aviation bug and ended up an Avgeek. Then the data bug got me, making me a curious Avgeek seeking data-driven logic. Also, I appreciate conversations with smart people from whom I learn so much. Summary: I am very fortunate to work with and converse with great people.

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