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June 15, 2024

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The market for new aircraft deliveries is expected to grow only marginally over the next twenty years, Boeing says in the latest Commercial Market Outlook (CMO) released on September 14. Until 2040, there will be 43.610 new deliveries worth $7.2 trillion, up only 500 aircraft from last year’s outlook. Boeing expects limited marginal growth of new deliveries.

Between 2021 and 2030, Boeing expects 19.330 aircraft deliveries compared to the previous forecast of 18.350 for 2020-2029 in last year’s CMO. In the second decade until 2040, the outlook includes 24.280 deliveries to bring the total to 43.610. This is down on the 24.760 in the second decade in the previous forecast that made a total of 43.110 aircraft. It is also in contrast with Boeing’s own remarks that the first decade until 2030 will still see the effects of the pandemic while the second decade until 2040 shows long-term resilience, particularly from single-aisle aircraft.


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Richard Schuurman
Active as a journalist since 1987, with a background in newspapers, magazines, and a regional news station, Richard has been covering commercial aviation on a freelance basis since late 2016. Richard is contributing to AirInsight since December 2018. He also writes for Airliner World, Aviation News, Piloot & Vliegtuig, and Luchtvaartnieuws Magazine. Twitter: @rschuur_aero.