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June 5, 2025
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Major Route Expansions Drive Trans-Tasman Growth

The Oceania aviation market continues its robust post-pandemic recovery this week, with Qantas and Air New Zealand expanding routes amid updates to aviation rules in Australia and New Zealand. The region is experiencing significant momentum in sustainable aviation initiatives, alongside steady growth in passenger demand.

Fleet Modernization

Air New Zealand Fleet Development
Air New Zealand is preparing for the arrival of two new Airbus A321neo aircraft, with the first of the two jets expected to arrive in Auckland on June 4, 2025. This delivery marks a significant milestone in the carrier’s fleet modernization program, enhancing fuel efficiency and passenger capacity on domestic and short-haul international routes.

Jetstar’s Trans-Tasman Network Expansion

New Zealand Service Launch
Jetstar is adding trans-Tasman flights between Dunedin and the Gold Coast, as well as flights between Hamilton and the Gold Coast and Sydney from June 2025. This expansion represents the Qantas subsidiary’s continued commitment to the New Zealand market, providing additional low-cost connectivity between the two countries.

The expansion builds on Qantas and Jetstar’s current operation of 80% of Australia’s 10 longest routes to New Zealand throughout 2025, demonstrating the group’s dominant position in the trans-Tasman market.

Capacity Increases and Seasonal Routes

Qantas New Zealand Operations
Qantas announced capacity increases to New Zealand, with enhanced seasonal services planned for the upcoming Southern Hemisphere summer season. The additions reflect strong demand for trans-Tasman travel, as both leisure and business traffic continue to recover.

Meanwhile, seasonal flights operating twice a week on A320/321neo aircraft will run from 27 October 2025 to 27 March 2026, for a total of around 15,000 seats over the season, representing the only non-stop connection between Adelaide and New Zealand’s South Island.

International Connectivity Expansion

United Airlines Pacific Strategy
The region benefits from continued international expansion, with United Airlines unveiling an expansion plan in the South Pacific, solidifying its position as the leading U.S. carrier in the area with a new non-stop route between San Francisco and Christchurch.

Additionally, United Airlines announced a new seasonal nonstop route between Adelaide and San Francisco, set to commence on December 11, 2025, marking the first direct air connection between South Australia and North America.

Market Outlook

The Oceania aviation market demonstrates continued resilience and growth trajectory, supported by:

  • Strong domestic and trans-Tasman demand recovery
  • Fleet modernization programs prioritize fuel efficiency, consistent with what we see across the globe
  • Increased competition is driving route expansion
  • Progressive sustainability initiatives
  • Enhanced international connectivity

Industry Analysis

Air New Zealand ranked first in recent safety assessments, with Qantas coming second, highlighting the region’s carriers’ continued focus on operational excellence and safety standards.

The combination of route expansion, fleet modernization, and sustainability initiatives positions Oceania’s aviation sector for sustained growth throughout 2025, with carriers balancing capacity increases against operational efficiency improvements.


For more aviation industry insights and analysis, visit Air Insight, Australian Aviation, and Executive Traveller.

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author avatar
Addison Schonland Partner
Co-Founder AirInsight. My previous life includes stints at Shell South Africa, CIC Research, and PA Consulting. Got bitten by the aviation bug and ended up an Avgeek. Then the data bug got me, making me a curious Avgeek seeking data-driven logic. Also, I appreciate conversations with smart people from whom I learn so much. Summary: I am very fortunate to work with and converse with great people.

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