A Commercial Aviation Consultancy

Addison Schonland

US airlines have announced record profits – load factors are at all time highs.  Fares are higher than you would think necessary with fuel prices down considerably.  Consolidation has been excellent news for the US airline industry.

But what has this meant for the air traveler?  It seems fair to say that what is good for an airline’s bottom line is the opposite for what is good for a passenger’s bottom.

Take a look at this chart which lists the number of flights reported by US airlines on a monthly basis from January 2010 through June 2015.  The trend line tells us the big story.  In summer we see more flights as one would expect and winter sees big declines.  But overall flights are down. Oligopoly at work is clear to see.  No wonder load factors are at all time highs. Continue reading

The program had a remarkable month. As the chart illustrates, it was the best month yet. At a cumulative 2,352 hours the program is now virtually at the original target 2,400 hours. In August all the CS100 FTV’s were flying and the CS300 FTV flew as well, adding 84 flights to the fleet total of 807 and racking up 276 more hours taking the FTV fleet total to 2,628.6 flight hours. Continue reading

Here we are at month end again and we have the A320neo flight test updates.  MSN6101 has not flown now for four months.  The other GTF powered test aircraft is MSN6286 and this has been building hours again.  MSN6419 is LEAP powered and has kept flying since it started test flights. Continue reading

[UPDATE – see MRJ Update under downloads under Featured Downloads]

Today Mitsubishi announced its first flight plans for October – “Latter half of October 2015” is their language.  The flight is planned for an hour.  We are in an era where first flight dates are not announced this far ahead and with equally liquid time periods.  MRJ must feel some confidence that they would even publish this – we have seen first flight windows announced a week ahead to media with no certainty whatsoever – a sort of “be here between day X and day Y”.  To be fair OEMs planning such events have to contend with all sorts of variables – recall the CS300 first flight in February this year when the weather was predictably awfully cold and unsettled. But that’s Montreal weather for you. Continue reading

Superjet had earlier bragged about getting orders at MAKS 2015.  A deal with Iran is no surprise and was expected.  Then came news of a deal with Jordan being in the works. And a deal with Kazakhstan.

This was followed by a Russian government-backed leasing group GTLK (State Transport Leasing Co.) signing for 32 SSJs on the first day of Moscow’s MAKS airshow.  They also ordered options for another 28 aircraft. GTLK signed an agreement with Russia’s Yamal Airlines to lease 25 SSJs.

Next, Ilyushin Finance signed a trilateral LoI under which Cambodia’s Sky Angkor Airlines wet-leases an SSJ from Russia’s Red Wings. Ilyushin will deliver two more of the aircraft to Sky Angkor under an operating lease. The 12-month wet-lease starts in December and when this expires the two new SSJ100LRs will be delivered by Ilyushin.

To date, there are 56 SSJs in… Continue reading

The decision to cancel daily service between Philadelphia and Tel Aviv has come as surprise to more than a few industry observers. Let’s take a look at the questions being asked and the airline’s explanation.

First let’s get the grand conspiracy out of the way. American is being influenced by some oneworld alliance partners as has been suggested by Israeli media. The facts are the alliance partners Qatar Airways has a stake in IAG which has both airlines serving Tel Aviv. Delta also has alliance partners that are not favorably disposed to Israel and its service to Tel Aviv is not being challenged. So there is no grand conspiracy.

We then posed some questions to American Airlines to get their side of the story.  All italics are from American Airlines.

Is there anything in this decision about the way TWA left the market that puts AA at risk?… Continue reading

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