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January 24, 2025
02142019 GOL B738M PR XMA KMIA NASEDIT 33286349418

02142019 GOL B738M PR XMA KMIA NASEDIT 33286349418

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[UPDATED -for some reason the charts are not displaying]

MAX deliveries have seen a few disruptions. Using data from ch-Aviation, we developed the following model to attempt to track how Boeing’s MAX deliveries have been going.  We created an average day metric between the first flight and delivery. We are only showing active aircraft. We left out the CIS region.

We split the market into regions, and here is what we found.  As the charts show, significant customers seem to receive their deliveries more quickly.

Africa

2024 07 08 11 14 33
ch Aviation AirInsight

Central America

2024 07 08 11 24 44
ch Aviation AirInsight

Caribbean

2024 07 08 11 29 07
ch Aviation AirInsight

East Asia

2024 07 08 11 30 48
ch Aviation AirInsight

Europe

2024 07 08 12 03 01
ch Aviation AirInsight

Latin America

2024 07 08 11 34 49
ch Aviation AirInsight

Middle East

2024 07 08 11 36 47
ch Aviation AirInsight

North America

2024 07 08 12 04 31
ch Aviation AirInsight

Oceania

2024 07 08 11 40 52 1
ch Aviation AirInsight

South Asia

2024 07 08 11 57 00
ch Aviation AirInsight

South East Asia

2024 07 08 11 59 00
ch Aviation AirInsight

Summary

  • Despite delivery interruptions, Boeing moved aircraft quickly when deliveries were permitted.
  • The average period between first flight and delivery is 268 days.
  • India (particularly Akasa) was a big beneficiary of aircraft originally ordered by Chinese customers.
  • While Latin America (specifically GOL in Brazil) was first to receive deliveries after the grounding, Central American customers (COPA) received the quickest deliveries.
  • Considering all deliveries came from one FAL, it is impressive how quickly they recovered. For example, in 2020, the days between the first flight and delivery were 549. In 2021, it dropped to 161, and in 2022 to 69.
  • Boeing’s decision to continue assembling aircraft through the grounding proved to be the correct choice. While stored inventory was expensive, that same inventory was moved rapidly as opportunities emerged, the Indian market being the prime example.

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author avatar
Addison Schonland Partner
Co-Founder AirInsight. My previous life includes stints at Shell South Africa, CIC Research, and PA Consulting. Got bitten by the aviation bug and ended up an Avgeek. Then the data bug got me, making me a curious Avgeek seeking data-driven logic. Also, I appreciate conversations with smart people from whom I learn so much. Summary: I am very fortunate to work with and converse with great people.

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