A Commercial Aviation Consultancy

Bombardier

Frequently industry analysts get caught up in the vast amount of minutiae this industry generates.  We decided to step back and take a 50,000 foot look at the industry and came up a few charts we find illustrative and interesting.

Taking the global fleet and breaking it down by regions gives us the first chart.  Three markets are clearly crucial and make up 75% of the market.  Numbers in the columns represent the fleet type size.  The bold numbers indicate how much of the global fleet is based in the region.

The smaller markets are rather similar in extent.  Turboprops represent 9.8% of the market, narrow body aircraft are 71.5% and wide body aircraft make up 18.8%. Continue reading

Last year the first Airbus Market Survey in Latin America provided valuable insights on how airline executives in the region perceive market evolutions and fleet requirements.  Airbus has just launched their 2014 Airbus Market Survey in Latin America.

In the 2013 results Airbus discovered that:

  • Intra-regional connections was the top long term network development opportunity
  • The market has a “very optimistic near-term outlook”
  • Criteria for new aircraft is driven by fuel burn, revenue generation ability and fleet rationalization
  • Airlines need to see savings of 15% to transition to same generation and 25% to transition to next generation
  • Best age to replace aircraft is between 8-12 years or a 15-20% cost improvement

With that backdrop, let’s look at this market.  The table shows the regional fleet earlier this year.  Over 77% of the fleet is narrow body (single aisle).  This is why the intra-regional market shows up… Continue reading

To the beat of traditional Japanese taiko drummers, Mitsubishi rolled in their new MRJ. About 3 1/2 years behind schedule, the aircraft apparently has been noted for high quality workmanship already.  Mitsubishi is building 78- and 92-seat versions  developed at a cost it estimates at $1.7bn. The company plans to conduct a first flight in June, with the larger model available first. Continue reading

A story out today might lead readers to think a CSeries order from Austrian is imminent.  Its not.

We contacted Austrian and we were told “I am pleased to confirm that we achieved a framework-agreement with our workers council, so now we can be optimistic about the future of Austrian Airlines – including  some thoughts on the fleet modernization. Currently there is neither a decision made regarding the model nor to the number of aircraft.”  Of course you would expect the airline to say this until things are official.

But we were advised by a contact within parent company Lufthansa “…there is nothing to really talk about; don’t know where the rumour originated because there are many things to be done first.”

The Bottom Line:  It could happen, but it isn’t there yet.  The competition between CSeries and E2Jets is still ongoing.

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