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Looking at the numbers through October 2016, we have the following table.

2016-11-14_15-23-49The -8 accounts for 66% of the 480 delivered 787s.  Last week the 500th 787 was seen in Seattle, being made ready for Air France.  GE has a big lead on the -8, with 67%.  However we can see once the -9 hit the market, interest in the -8 has fallen off considerably.  (One wonders, how big an issue has A330 pricing become?)  Interest in the -9 has been strong.  There has also been a distinct switch in engine interest moving to the -9 with Rolls-Royce leads with just over half the market.  This is an excellent result given that Rolls-Royce does not have access to a strong finance arm as GE does.

Boeing is churning out 787s at a remarkable clip.  Production looks like being over 115% higher this year than three years ago.  Even though the fuel efficiency of the 878 is no longer quite the most compelling feature, the aircraft’s range and ability to “hub bust” ensures its success.  The -9 looks to be a tremendous performer, despite a three year start, the -9 already is halfway to the -8 delivery totals. At current rates, the -9 could out-deliver the -8 by 2018.

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Co-Founder AirInsight. My previous life includes stints at Shell South Africa, CIC Research, and PA Consulting. Got bitten by the aviation bug and ended up an Avgeek. Then the data bug got me, making me a curious Avgeek seeking data-driven logic. Also, I appreciate conversations with smart people from whom I learn so much. Summary: I am very fortunate to work with and converse with great people.

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