Comparing the A321ceo vs A321neo

We are not alone in thinking the A321neo is the hottest ticket in commercial aviation. The middle of the market is a sweet spot that keeps growing, as we have noted several times. This morning, we came across this chart on social media from TAP that sparked this note. The numbers are impressive. Can we replicate those results and support this? Going to the best source for this we know of, Skailark, we developed the following charts to see what operating data from operators has been doing during the 1H23. Data from 38 airlines gives us a comprehensive view of the operational activity. The following table illustrates the delta between the CEO and NEO. The NEO flies 21.4% more block hours per flight, and 8.3% operates more block hours per aircraft daily. Moreover, the data states the NEO burns 24% less fuel on a per-seat basis. TAP's 23% better fuel burn than the A330-200 is close to what we see for the CEO vs. NEO. But we need to see the A321 models compared. A difficulty we discovered going over the data is that the A321neo performs much better than some operators deploying the new model, unlike how they used the previous model. In other words, comparisons are misleading. Here's an example using Aegean Airlines. The range difference makes comparing these two models misleading. Of course, the A321neo burns more fuel; it flies 65% further and burns 12.3% more fuel. Using Delta Air Lines offers the following chart. There's a similar outcome to Aegean—a range increase of 86% with a 36.8% higher fuel burn. Next, Jetblue sees a 7.2% higher stage length and 12.8% lower fuel burn. Here's the data for American Airlines, with 57% greater stage lengths and 43.5% lower fuel burn. How about TAP? TAP's excitement at the A321neo performance is well-founded. Their A321neos fly 27% longer stages with a 42% lower fuel burn. We offer these two charts to give readers a perspective on how operators deploy these two models. Please click on the chart to make it easier to see. They are busy, but note how each model's operators are in different spots. As with all these bubble charts, their size reflects the number of flights. In summary, what do we find? The "big picture" for 1H23 shows the A321neo operates 38.8% longer stages and burns 26.3% less fuel. This suggests that TAP's chart offers part of the story. The fact that TAP compares the A321 to the A330 tells you something. TAP will likely use its A321neos to operate more long-range flights, given its ability to "cherry pick" routes. A321neo (plus LR and XLR) enables operators to chase optimal revenue opportunities at lower risk than traditional long-range twin-aisle models. None of this is new to our readers. However, it is great to demonstrate data to support the notion.

No results