Embraer is forecasting demand for 11.000 deliveries until 2042 for aircraft with up to 150 seats. Of these, 2.300 will be jets with up to 100 seats, 6.490 with up to 150 seats, and 2.210 turboprops valued at $650 million. The Brazilian airframer released its Market Outlook on the second day of the Paris Airshow.
Embraer says that 57 percent of the market is for replacement and 43 percent for growth. The new regional aircraft will complement narrowbodies with over 150 seats and help to improve connectivity. They also give operators more flexibility and will reduce carbon emissions thanks to new-technology engines.
Embraer expects air travel or revenue passenger kilometers to grow by 3.2 percent. The highest demand should happen in the Asia/Pacific region, where 3.180 aircraft of 29 percent of the market should be. Of these, 910 will be turboprops.
North America is the second-largest market with 3.100 aircraft and a 28 percent share, followed by Europe at 2.840 aircraft and 26 percent. Demand for turboprops will be higher in Europe with 450 versus 410 aircraft.
South America accounts for 960 percent and a nine percent share, with the Middle East and Africa the smallest market with 920 aircraft and an eight percent share. Turboprop demand in Africa will be for 210 aircraft, 180 in Latin America, and just fifty in the Middle East.
The airframer is forecasting demand for 600 small and crossover standard body jets in the cargo market. Of this, 63 percent is for growth of the cargo market and 37 percent for replacement.
Here is a video of the Embraer presentation.
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