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A Commercial Aviation Consultancy

In case you did not see this yet, you might want to check on this link for our weekly analyst review.

This week, our colleagues at AIR take a simple look at three issues that are likely to define the industry in 2017;  in short its really all about the supply chain and its ability to withstand pressure from OEMs and the impact of  financial, political and economic variables.   2017 is likely to be a white swan(s) year.  There are also significant strategic decisions around the corner that will be impacted by the sales performances of key programs in 2017.

India is a market that has been attractive for OEMs for many years.  The following two charts explain why.  The first chart shows how strongly the domestic air travel market has grown.  Typically, passenger traffic doubles every 15 years – in India between 1995 and 2010 traffic grew by four times.  If we look back 15 years from 2015, traffic has grown by over fives what it was.

Just to provide some perspective – India’s railway network is the world’s fourth largest and in 2014 transported 8.4 billion passengers. For every Indian domestic air passenger in 2014, 138 passengers took a train. Continue reading

AirInsight is expanding, and has introduced a new business unit, AirInsightResearch.  AIR is a premium aerospace & defense boutique analysis and consulting group.  Our team’s innovative strategies and market intelligence have provided substantial strategic advantage for our clients for well over a decade.

We invite you to visit our site at www.airinsightresearch.com for further details.

AIR produces an analytical newsletter, an example of which may be found here.http://airinsightresearch.com/market-intelligence-research/analyst-notes/air-review/  We invite you to download the latest issue of AIR Review.

Michel Merluzeau has joined AirInsightResearch and will be bringing his strong expertise in market research and competitive intelligence to the new business unit as Director – Aerospace Market Analysis.

Michel was formerly Vice President – Aerospace Business Development for Frost and Sullivan, and Vice President, Market Analysis for G2 Solutions.  Michel is a graduate of the Université de Provence, and is a member of several… Continue reading

We have completed the 2016 EFB survey and added this data to the EFB survey data set, starting with 2012.  The current Excel sheet provides 293 rows by 228 columns of data.  If you are interested in acquiring this excel data, please email us.

The excitement of trading with Iran’s airlines is bringing OEMs some uncertainty.  This is going to be unwelcome to suppliers who dislike adding uncertainty to an already uncertain industry.

Let’s start with Superjet. News from Iran now suggests the SSJ is not going to be welcomed in Iran.  The Association of Iranian Airlines is the source, and to see the comment from that source as saying “the plane is not well-known to Iranian airline companies” is fatuous. Virtually every modern commercial aircraft is unknown to Iran’s airlines and the SSJ issue has been fixed. Then to ascribe concern about the recent technical fix after saying as recently as December 10th that Iranian airlines were interested in buying the SSJ is perplexing.

Meanwhile ATR is about to sign a finalize its deal with Iran this week and the first aircraft looks ready for delivery.  The first Iran Air… Continue reading

Last Wednesday it happened in Indonesia. Citilink, owned by Garuda, initially denied the pilot was drunk. Later Citilink’s president and the airline’s production director resigned and the pilot was fired.

Then on Saturday in Canada, a pilot at Sunwing was so drunk he was found unconscious on the flight deck! When the co-pilot arrived he found the pilot drunk while doing the preflight. The co-pilot notified the airline, and when the gate crew boarded the aircraft, they found the pilot slumped in his seat. Calgary police were called and the pilot was arrested.  So drunk was he that two hours after being taken into custody, he was still three times over the legal limit.

For these two gents their flying career in the airline business is likely to be curtailed.  The industry has many checks and balances to ensure safe travel.  Of course the security folks at… Continue reading

There are 160 TU-154s deployed in the former CIS.  The 160-seat TU-154 has been a stalwart aircraft serving across the region, in some cases for over 40 years.  Russian news indicates the TU-154 fleet has been grounded.  But the grounding most likely applies only to the state owned fleet.

As of 3Q16, 42 were in service, the remainder being parked.  The aircraft is at the sunset of its life.

Within the active fleet, the Russian State had 15 and its 223rd Flight Unit had five.   While airlines have mostly parked their TU-154s, the state has kept its fleet active.  The state fleet does not have as many cycles as the commercial fleet.  Even if the aircraft is old, it is kept at OEM spec and should be safe to fly.

The aircraft that crashed on Christmas Day was built in 1983 and… Continue reading

In August CityJet flew an SSJ into Bodø Airport, Norway.  Which would be normal, you’d think. Except Bodø had no towbar for the SSJ.  So, with a schedule to keep, and a ground crew not willing to let the schedule slip, they did what needed to be done!