Yesterday the DoT updated their T-100 dataset. Here is our updated model on how the big US airlines are doing.
Load factors softened but that should not be a concern yet. However, notice that load factors were pretty stable from 2016 through 2018. So, an item to watch.
In the colorful table, we notice that the big airlines continue to vacuum up traffic. This makes it harder for smaller airlines and very hard for start-ups. (Hello Messrs Levy and Neeleman)
It is interesting to see that the average numbers of passengers per flight have stayed remarkably consistent. On page two note the air time per flight and how this is changing, too.
Select an airline from the pull-down list to see the model change.
Co-Founder AirInsight. My previous life includes stints at Shell South Africa, CIC Research, and PA Consulting. Got bitten by the aviation bug and ended up an Avgeek. Then the data bug got me, making me a curious Avgeek seeking data-driven logic. Also, I appreciate conversations with smart people from whom I learn so much. Summary: I am very fortunate to work with and converse with great people.
