A Commercial Aviation Consultancy


As the chart illustrates, the survey has pretty much run its course. As of this writing, we have 233 responses. Recognizing this is not a scientific survey we also need to accept the responses come from a primarily qualified audience given this site’s traffic sources. So we would tend to consider these results as worthy for consideration. Let’s look at each question.

Over 60% of respondents believe the 737RE will be an economic success for Boeing. This is good news for the firm and with such a strong response one wonders why Boeing did not make the decision to do the re-engine sooner? Respondents clearly feel confident in the airplane and Boeing’s ability to make it work. Given the iterations of the 737 since 1967 this is understandable.

2017 is when most respondents see the 737RE entering service.  American, as first customer, expects its first 737RE’s in 2018. Given… Continue reading

Note this survey is not scientific. That said, this site’s traffic is highly focused in terms of traffic sources. Our readers are typically from within the industry.  Therefore as much as we need to start with a disclaimer, we also want to say that what we see in the results is not something to ignore.  The opinions are worth noting at the very least.

As of this writing, there are 210 responses. In a perfect world, with a random sample of responses, this response rate should provide a confidence level of between 6% and 7% given site traffic since we posted the poll on Friday. With that backdrop, here is what readers have shared so far.


A three way call with Ken Herbert from Wedbush Securities, Jon Ostrower from Flight Global and Michel Merluzeau at G2Solutions. The consensus was surprising – we did not select these people because of their similar views, yet that is how it turned out.


Our colleague Scott Hamilton scooped the industry on Boeing’s plan to re-engine the 737 for 2017 as well as move forward with an all new airplane for 2021-22.  While it is admirable for Boeing to attempt to stem the tide of Airbus’ incredibly successful neo, with more than 1,000 orders in the few months it has been offered, does offering a re-engined aircraft that will be economically obsoleted a mere four to five years later by a new model make sense from any perspective?  We suspect Boeing’s all new aircraft will be pushed to the right, giving Bombardier, COMAC and Irkut an opportunity to compete with 21st century aircraft with 21st century engines, with the CSeries being the most advanced.

Boeing’s two pronged strategy appears foolhardy for several reasons, but necessary given continuing issues with the 787.

  1. According to reports from Seattle, the re-engined model will be economically… Continue reading

American Airlines did a brave thing today with its amr-aircraft from Airbus (260+365) and Boeing (200+100).  If you are a fleet planner at United, Delta or Southwest, your stomach just took a very unpleasant turn. The US domestic fleet (except at US Airways and Continental) tends to the aged side. These airlines missed out the last order wave because of poor financials plus a soft demand.  However the cost of fuel and rising MRO costs are forcing hands – they cannot wait much longer and must renew fleets. This is what Airbus and Boeing have been waiting for – the coming feeding frenzy.

Well its here now. But American was not only brave, it was strategic too – it has bottled up just about every production slot Airbus and Boeing could have.  Boeing has the P-8 line which can be harnessed (it will have to) to increase… Continue reading

At the Paris show, which is now in its final business day, we can expect Team Airbus to roll out their biggest deals.  We have been hearing of a blockbuster AirAsia deal for 200 neos plus 100 options.  Until its announced it is just a rumor.  But other sources triangulate to make us feel confident Mr Leahy is in for a busy day. Continue reading

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