DBEA55AED16C0C92252A6554BC1553B2 Clicky DBEA55AED16C0C92252A6554BC1553B2 Clicky
July 19, 2024

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You might think it’s a great problem to have, but it isn’t, and it is a big problem. Yesterday’s big Asian orders add to the problem.

  • Why is this a problem? Airbus’s backlog reflects the duopoly’s instability, which is awful.
  • Why is it a big problem? The duopoly will only recover if Boeing fixes its production quality problems, satisfies the FAA, and accomplishes within short order(fat chance) or if Airbus fails.

We regularly refer to game theory when discussing the duopoly. It is crucial to understand that moves made by either OEM impact the other and force reactions. The current unstable duopoly is an aberration. The market will force Boeing to change; we hear more about this daily, as in this WSJ article yesterday. The entire commercial aviation silo desperately needs a stable duopoly.

 


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author avatar
Addison Schonland
Co-Founder AirInsight. My previous life includes stints at Shell South Africa, CIC Research, and PA Consulting. Got bitten by the aviation bug and ended up an Avgeek. Then the data bug got me, making me a curious Avgeek seeking data-driven logic. Also, I appreciate conversations with smart people from whom I learn so much. Summary: I am very fortunate to work with and converse with great people.