DBEA55AED16C0C92252A6554BC1553B2 Clicky DBEA55AED16C0C92252A6554BC1553B2 Clicky
March 28, 2024
this time its different
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INSIGHT:  This time, its different

This time, it’s different.  Today’s situation is unique.  We’re in the midst of an industry recovery but facing a recession when revenues typically fall, and industry earnings suffer.  Our thesis is that airlines may actually survive the recession well, potentially with increasing revenues as the final elements of traffic that have not yet returned from the global pandemic kick in.  While high fuel prices and higher costs may portend doom and gloom, the counterbalancing forces may result in a more favorable picture for the airline industry.

This time, it’s different.  Today’s situation is unique.  We’re in the midst of an industry recovery but facing a recession when revenues typically fall, and industry earnings suffer.  Our thesis is that airlines may actually survive the recession well, potentially with increasing revenues as the final elements of traffic that have not yet returned from the global pandemic kick in.  While high fuel prices and higher costs may portend doom and gloom, the counterbalancing forces may result in a more favorable picture for the airline industry.


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