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Insight: Wednesday 27 November 2019: Piecing Together the 777X Outlook

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News

In recent months, the news for 777X hasn’t been very positive.  Between changes to wide-body orders at the Dubai Airshow, the delay in the GE9X engine, the scrapping of fuselage automation and the failure of a major certification test, a program everyone expected to be smooth has turned into a nightmare.  Reports from our sources this week indicate that the problem with the structural test door included some surrounding structure and may be more serious than previously thought.

The program has moved to the right, and customer uncertainty has grown with the various delays and issues.  Tim Clark at Emirates, a key customer, is predicting further delays.  As we piece together information from various sources, a pattern is beginning to emerge.

Analysis

It has now become apparent, putting the pieces together, that Boeing

has taken some additional and appropriate risks (that failed) in developing the 777X with new technologies, including a composite wing and innovative manufacturing processes.  It has also become apparent that the failure of the fuselage structure during a static pressure test may be a result of the failed fuselage automaton program, which has now been shut down.  That failure will require another fuselage to be used in static testing.  With the shut down of the automation program, Boeing will return to manual fastening of fuselage panels to the aircraft structure.

In recent months, the news for 777X hasn’t been very positive.  Between changes to wide-body orders at the Dubai Airshow, the delay in the GE9X engine, the scrapping of fuselage automation and the failure of a major certification test, a program everyone expected to be smooth has turned into a nightmare.  Reports from our sources this week indicate that the problem with the structural test door included some surrounding structure and may be more serious than previously thought.

The program has moved to the right, and customer uncertainty has grown with the various delays and issues.  Tim Clark at Emirates, a key cusomer, is predicting further delays.  As we piece together information from various sources, a pattern is beginning to emerge.  


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