Here is an update on commercial aircraft transactions through May 2018. Note transactions include new and pre-owned aircraft.
- Airbus has had a more active year compared to Boeing. The 2018 numbers also show more activity at Airbus compared to last year.
- ATR, Bombardier, and Embraer are all having a much slower 2018 compared to 2017.
- Sukhoi seems stable this year compared to last. IRKUT makes its first showing.
- Boeing saw some lift in 737-700 transactions, but the 737-800 declined as the MAX8 picked up briskly.
- The 737-900 remains comparatively weak but the first MAX9s are showing up.
- The A319 also (like the 737-700) saw good comparative activity. The A320 also saw improved activity. But the A320neo didn’t see as many transactions – and note the 201841 compared to 63 for the MAX8. Boeing is outproducing Airbus.
- The A321ceo did fewer transactions this year compared to last. But the A321neo saw good growth. In this case, note the difference between the A321neo and MAX9.
- Boeing saw the 777-300ER and 787-8 slow down but .the 787-9 saw more activity. The 787-9 is clearly a winning solution for the airline industry.
- The 787-10 saw more transactions as deliveries have started.
- The A330-200 saw more transactions than the A330-300 – perhaps the market is waiting for the A330neo?
- The A350-900 saw more progress as deliveries grew. The A350-1000 looks like it is running slower.
- The A380 bumbles on. The recent news of the IAG deal being on hold is not helping.
- The CRJ700 saw a big decline in transactions – this is something of a special aircraft since it has no direct competitor and is a low-risk step from 50-seater to 80-seater.
- The CRJ900 continues to be the preferred CRJ model.
- The C Series line is running very slowly. Too slowly, but that is likely to change with new management which is “weeks away” we understand.
- Embraer’s best seller, the E175, is seeing a slower 2018 compared to 2017. It is now neck and neck with its competitor, the CRJ900.
- The E190 also has seen a slower 2018. But the first E190-E2s have reached the market and, according to the launch customer data, are performing very well.
- The E195 is also seeing a slower 2018.
- Even though 2018 is looking slower than 2017, airlines and lessors are the main areas of activity.
Co-Founder AirInsight. My previous life includes stints at Shell South Africa, CIC Research, and PA Consulting. Got bitten by the aviation bug and ended up an Avgeek. Then the data bug got me, making me a curious Avgeek seeking data-driven logic. Also, I appreciate conversations with smart people from whom I learn so much. Summary: I am very fortunate to work with and converse with great people.